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National Mortality Estimates

Age-specific, year-specific mortality estimates for Rwanda between the years 1987 and 2013 are shown below.

3D (raw estimates)

2D (raw estimates)

2D (spline-smoothed)

Data Table

Data Sources

Data for these estimates is based on the following DHS surveys for Rwanda:





Regional comparisons

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Survey composition by region

Some regional recoding was necessary to harmonize the different surveys. The final regions used in each survey are shown in the plot below:

Average Annual Probability of Death

The plots below show the mortality experienced by different age groups in the different regions of Rwanda.

0 - 14 years

15 - 49 years

Poisson Model

The results of the Poisson regression (using age group, time period and country region as predictors) are shown below:

  Deaths
Predictors Incidence Rate Ratios CI p
(Intercept) 0.02 0.02 – 0.02 <0.001
Age Group: 0 - 14 Reference
Age Group: 15 - 49 0.45 0.44 – 0.46 <0.001
Period: 1980s Reference
Period: 1990s 2.46 2.37 – 2.54 <0.001
Period: 2000s 0.70 0.67 – 0.73 <0.001
Period: 2010s 0.31 0.29 – 0.34 <0.001
Region: Eastern Reference
Region: Kigali 1.09 1.05 – 1.13 <0.001
Region: Northern 0.89 0.86 – 0.91 <0.001
Region: Southern 0.96 0.93 – 0.98 0.002
Region: Western 0.88 0.85 – 0.90 <0.001
Observations 40
R2 Nagelkerke 1.000

Data table

Sources

Data was sourced from the following DHS surveys for Rwanda:













Mortality Detail for Each Region

Below we present the age-specific, year-specific mortality estimates for each region of Rwanda between the years 1987 and 2013.

Kigali

Spline-smoothed

Data Table

Southern

Spline-smoothed

Data Table

Northern

Spline-smoothed

Data Table

Western

Spline-smoothed

Data Table

Eastern

Spline-smoothed

Data Table