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National Mortality Estimates
Age-specific, year-specific mortality estimates for Rwanda between the years 1987 and 2013 are shown below.
3D (raw estimates)
2D (raw estimates)
2D (spline-smoothed)
Data Table
Data Sources
Data for these estimates is based on the following DHS surveys for Rwanda:
Regional comparisons
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Survey composition by region
Some regional recoding was necessary to harmonize the different surveys. The final regions used in each survey are shown in the plot below:
Average Annual Probability of Death
The plots below show the mortality experienced by different age groups in the different regions of Rwanda.
0 - 14 years
15 - 49 years
Poisson Model
The results of the Poisson regression (using age group, time period and country region as predictors) are shown below:
| Deaths | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictors | Incidence Rate Ratios | CI | p |
| (Intercept) | 0.02 | 0.02 – 0.02 | <0.001 |
| Age Group: 0 - 14 | Reference | ||
| Age Group: 15 - 49 | 0.45 | 0.44 – 0.46 | <0.001 |
| Period: 1980s | Reference | ||
| Period: 1990s | 2.46 | 2.37 – 2.54 | <0.001 |
| Period: 2000s | 0.70 | 0.67 – 0.73 | <0.001 |
| Period: 2010s | 0.31 | 0.29 – 0.34 | <0.001 |
| Region: Eastern | Reference | ||
| Region: Kigali | 1.09 | 1.05 – 1.13 | <0.001 |
| Region: Northern | 0.89 | 0.86 – 0.91 | <0.001 |
| Region: Southern | 0.96 | 0.93 – 0.98 | 0.002 |
| Region: Western | 0.88 | 0.85 – 0.90 | <0.001 |
| Observations | 40 | ||
| R2 Nagelkerke | 1.000 | ||
Data table
Sources
Data was sourced from the following DHS surveys for Rwanda:
Mortality Detail for Each Region
Below we present the age-specific, year-specific mortality estimates for each region of Rwanda between the years 1987 and 2013.